09 October 2020
The United Kingdom derby between England and Wales that takes place at Wembley Stadium will see the home side seeking a sixth consecutive win in their H2H meetings.
Notably, four of those five England’s triumphs have been accompanied by a clean sheet, which has been the case in each of their previous four wins over the past 12 months (W4, D1). Except for a 2-1 loss to Spain in their first post-World Cup home fixtures, the ‘Three Lions’ have been virtually unstoppable at home, racking up seven consecutive victories, five of which have yielded a full-time margin of over 1.5 goals. Quick out of the blocks, Gareth Southgate’s men have netted 2+ first-half goals in five of their previous six home outings, including the last four. But, particularly vulnerable after the half-time break, they have shipped three of their last four home goals conceded inside the opening 12 minutes of the second half.
Meanwhile, Wales won two of their matches during last month’s international break via the identical 1-0 scoreline, with the winner in both coming on or beyond the 80-minute mark. It now means the visitors are unbeaten in eight consecutive games (W6, D2), five of which saw them shut out their rivals. However, a genuine lack of firepower in the final third has seen the ‘Dragons’ score under 1.5 goals in eight of their last nine fixtures away from home (W3, D2, L4), with four of their six goals netted across those encounters coming before the hour mark. It will be a daunting prospect for Wales to improve their disappointing scoring ratio here, as they’ve drawn a blank in two of their last three trips to England (L3).
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